However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. Yields on 30-year Treasuries jumped some 200 basis points in the first nine months of the year, hammering investors and financial firms, not to mention thrusting Mexico into crisis and bankrupting Orange County. This includes graphs of the major stock market indices as well as graphs for commodities, currencies, bonds, and unemployment levels. What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. After all, its just a day like any other day. 2000-2001 Shmita Year - 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. So you shall not wrong one another, but you shall fear your God; for I am the Lord your God.. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! It is wise for us to attune our THE STOCK MARKET WILL CRASH! Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? In his analysis, he looked at a broader picture of economic indicators and whether the Shemitah years have had any significant impact on them. Thus, although the economic busts that he relates to Shemitahs really did occur, the book leaves us with an incomplete picture of the actual statistical significance of the phenomenon. Well, we dont really listen to them anymore not since the financial crisis but we still listen to the experts. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. For instance, there were significant declines in 2003 and 2011 that were both in the middle of the subsequent Shemitah cycles and did not correspond to the Shemitah years or their wakes. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops 40%. Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. Is the Shemitah Effect real or is it imagined? A press release with fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 financial results will be issued after the market closes that same day. STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Maybe nothing goes down on that day. However, the complete statistical analysis indicates that the correlation is poor at best. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. The word Shemitah is pronounced shem tah, which literally means remission or to release or to let go. Rigel senior . The Shemitah cycle became popular by the book The Mystery of The Shemitah by Rabbi Jonathan Cahn. Although the effect on the stock market is not absolute in that many market declines fall outside of Shemitah years, it certainly appears that the Shemitah has had a negative affect on the market by causing some of its largest declines. Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? What might be more insteresting at least for some is trying to understand how our economic system is constructed and how it works. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). By AARON KATSMAN Published:. There is basically no systematic effect. Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. If we have a look at the stock market in that year, we cant see any crash like we have seen in past Shemitah years, but we are seeing something interesting. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. From Shuls to JCCs, Federations to urban farms, I met a wide range of knowledge levels and often had to begin by explaining the abc of shmita, the biblical seven-year agriculture cycle. In this way, all property bought and sold between Hebrews was really only rented for a time and not permanently transferred or lost. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. In addition, if the poor sold their property because they needed the money, their family would eventually be assured of gaining it back at the Jubilee. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. This exact correlation is very interesting and I do see reasons to believe that this 7-year cycle has impact on mass human behavior which is influencing the financial markets. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. This happened to be as well a Shemitah year. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. However, these laws were not ignored by God. The historical performance results for indices and index funds, used as proxies for indices, are provided exclusively for comparison purposes. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. Feb. 28, 2023 at 3:56 a.m. But it never does. An excellent set of concise economic graphs to use for this purpose can be found at stockcharts.com, which also allows the creation of custom graphs with any desired economic data. 1972-1973 Shmita Year - 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. You are to do the same with your vineyard and your olive grove.. The year following the series of seven Shemitahs, or the 50th year, was designated the Year of Jubilee (called Yovel in Hebrew). If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. If the reset is not expected, (and it usually isnt), experience shows that it comes upon us anyway, as a nasty surprise. By Cecilia Butini. Looks like things are right on target. Therefore, working backward from the Shemitah of 2014-2015, the following years can be calculated to be Shemitahs simply subtracting 7 from each year. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. It is not surprising, therefore, that there are downturns in the market which occur outside of a Shemitah year. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. towers fell. Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. His Hidden Secrets of Money is a great input to your own thought process. (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah (*Super Shemitah Year) - Stock market drops 40%. Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. I never trade solely based on time cycles but time cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look at the macro-perspective. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing (412) 317-6346 or (844) 204-8586 from the U.S. Callers from Brazil can dial +55 11 3181-8565. Is there an unseen force or a law of nature that God has designed into the world, which silently governs the rise and fall of economies and nations? May I have seen this post in December, I could have saved my tons of money, The market crashes every 7 years! The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. A Dashboard Update. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. BGC Partners, Inc. (Nasdaq: BGCP) ("BGC"), a leading global brokerage and financial technology company, today reported its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. Feel free to contact me if you have questions or comments. Well, if we compare the Shemitah years with the financial markets we can see a very interesting correlation. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. With that assertion, it is imperative to learn about the Shemitah Effect as we study End Times prophecy. In this way we gain People are in the middle of a great crisis that continues to increase, but theyre still fat and happy. God commands rest on the seventh day - Sabbath. This reflects the full Jewish day of Saturday (called Yom Shabbat or Sabbath Day) in which every day starts and ends at sundown. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. Because it aligns as well with the fact that September is known to be the worst month for stocks. 1930-1931: The Great Depression, the worst financial crisis in human history. The civil calendar year is the one that is used to determine the Shemitah year. Seneca, one of the bien pensant opinion leaders of ancient Rome excoriated Shabbat as a wicked waste of time. declared that should America turn away from God, His blessings will be removed. In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. An investor should not assume that any strategy used by Reppond Investments, Inc. will directly correspond to any such comparative index.Different types of investments and/or investment strategies involve varying levels of risk. In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? For the author, the United States of America is Gods true chosen nation with which God made a new covenant. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that its all from God. modern history. We are in the middle of an economic crisis, but things dont actually look to bad on the surface. Establishment of The World Trade Centre was conceived in the Shmita of 1945, begun in the Shmita of Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. Its going to be a very bumpy year until Sept 24-27 already look at the signs very volitale market, supply chain on last thread, oil prices through the roof ( US cannot sustained price of oil over $100 ) they are predicting $150-175 barell, famine in Africa, major drought in 3/4 of US . Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. The enormity of the preceding mania and its vicious unwind have us believing the current bear could unfold over a much lengthier time than is typical. a 40,000 pound "hewn" foundation stone. 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. During that time we are apt to get energized, excited and sometimes completely carried away by the whole business. This year is a different story. Sukkot, Shmita and a stock market crash? Shmita is the wiping away of that which has been built up. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a This represents a 70% correlation of the Shemitah Effect to the most significant point drops in stock market history. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. Selectively cherry-picking from data sets can result in seeing an effect that is not really there. land and that which was built up was wiped away. On April 30, 1789 George Washington prophetically But what does this have. You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! Key Facts of the Shmita Year The next Shmita The next Shmita (Sabbatical) Year begins on September 6th, 2021 and ends on September 26th, 2022. A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. The beginning of the Jubilee year would be marked by the sounding of a rams horn on the Day of Atonement (Yom Kippur). In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. The prideful building of the Tower of Babel brought judgment. This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. Weve gotten our money back, thanks to the complaints help we got!Eternally grateful!!! 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. Life savings and pensions were decimated, homes were lost while homelessness, poverty and misery grew. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Your email address will not be published. For instance, someone who publishes a new insight related to the Bible or a new way of interpreting prophecy related to the End Times often generates a lot of excitement and attention, and they may even sell millions of books; however, attention and book sales dont necessarily mean that the conclusions are accurate. In January we put it bluntly: Longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022. Not only is it a mid-term election year, but also a Shmita Year. 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